Is financial modeling to blame for the recent crisis? As always the fault does not lie with the tool but rather with the user. When was the last time you took a look at the validity of Net Present Value or Option Pricing? The recent, or ongoing, financial crisis has been attributed, amongst other things, [...]
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Archive for the ‘Risk Management’ Category
Blame the Models? Take a Good Look in the Mirror
Carnival of Financial Planning – May 16, 2009 Edition
Welcome to the May 16, 2009 edition of the Carnival of Financial Planning. Today I’m having the pleasure of hosting the Carnival of Financial Planning on The Personal Financier. The Carnival of Financial Planning takes a long-term view of personal financial planning for individuals and families. We focus on efficient and sustainable ...
What is the Recommended Investment Strategy for Household Investors?
I’ve promised to update you, my readers, on my investment decisions. I’ve decided. After months of deliberation I’ve finally decided on getting my feet wet again and bought some stocks on Monday. As readers of The Personal Financier know I am a big fan of investment vehicles that track certain indices such as index funds [...]
The Japanese Banking Crisis of the 1990′s: Are We Facing a Similar Stagnation?
What can we learn from the 1990′s Japanese banking crisis and the long slump in the Japanese stock market? Are we facing a similar scenario? Price levels in stock markets worldwide are increasingly becoming attractive with each day brining yet another slump. The time of the long term investors has come. Still, a relentless doubt [...]
Behavioral Finance in Everyday Life – The Lottery as a Case Study
Is lottery a tax on stupidity or are our flawed psychologies playing another trick on us? My wife and I usually enjoy strolls around our neighborhood on weekends, especially on sunny winter days. We live in the city and in our last stroll I kept noticing lottery advertisements everywhere as if they were beckoning to [...]
Senior Regulators to Senate: Surprised at the failure of Voluntary Regulation. Where They Really That Naïve?
“.. for the imagination of man’s heart is evil from his youth” (genesis 8:21) Three senior regulators were apparently very surprised by the behavior of financial institutions and especially investment banks and the part they played in the current crisis. Where they really that naïve? I find it a bit hard to believe. What the [...]
Do you understand investment risk?
Talk of investment risk is abundant but what is investment risk really? Stock investments are risky; Investing in corporate bonds is less risky but still carries some risk; Investing in government bonds is risk free; we each have our own risk preferences and should invest accordingly, and so on and so forth. We all know [...]
Uncertainty and Risk differentiated – Is a Tactical Surprise Preferable to a Strategic Surprise?
Risk management is a relatively new and evolving field. Risk management usually refers to the process of identifying, measuring, controlling, and minimizing uncertainties which may directly or indirectly affect a desired outcome of a system. A great challenge indeed. Any process or procedure we can think of holds many uncertainties. Risk ...
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